![]() While China was still a poor country and its armed forces were far inferior to Taiwan’s, the basic plan to defend the island from invasion was to meet the large invasion force and defeat it. It remains to be seen if Taiwan's current position can continue to deter a conflict or prevail if it occurs.Īdapting to a transformation in military circumstances is a significant challenge for any military, but Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defence (MND) has thus far not been willing or able to do it. Taiwan has not yet adapted to the circumstances due to a mixture of institutional inertia and questionable political calculation. In a full-blown conflict, these will likely be overwhelmed and destroyed in weeks, if not days. ![]() On the face of it, despite a transformation in China's forces, Taiwan has not drastically adapted its military strategy and seemingly expects to fight a war with a limited number of its high-value sea, air, and land units, which cannot be quickly replaced. China’s economic rise has funded an expansion in its military capabilities, which are now quantitatively and in many cases, qualitatively superior to its opponents. Taiwan faces the threat of major conflict from the People's Republic of China. I was told this post would be of interest to members of the EA forum, so I am reposting it from my substack. Taiwan's leaders seem to underrate the risk of military conflict. Taiwan's current military strategy puts it at risk from a resurgent China.
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